Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.577820 0.655003 0.737168 0.830984 0.934969 1.046525 1.175084
2025-10-12 0.471568 0.581397 0.706739 0.859667 1.040463 1.246612 1.498633
2025-10-19 0.380765 0.508186 0.663358 0.864524 1.116517 1.419699 1.809791
2025-10-26 0.310671 0.447046 0.623555 0.865543 1.184978 1.588130 2.130663
2025-11-02 0.256569 0.396570 0.588453 0.865476 1.249008 1.754252 2.461713
2025-11-09 0.213985 0.354119 0.556857 0.863964 1.308119 1.916333 2.798722
2025-11-16 0.181030 0.319717 0.530862 0.865316 1.368771 2.082803 3.152164
2025-11-23 0.152203 0.286482 0.501278 0.856359 1.411441 2.224891 3.479468
2025-11-30 0.133724 0.266854 0.489605 0.872225 1.490737 2.423573 3.899546
2025-12-07 0.113947 0.241412 0.464629 0.863059 1.528861 2.561743 4.237206
2025-12-14 0.099766 0.223604 0.449878 0.868297 1.588970 2.735809 4.638094
2025-12-21 0.085248 0.202485 0.426202 0.854939 1.616058 2.858238 4.964443
2025-12-28 0.078553 0.196269 0.429484 0.890282 1.729542 3.128628 5.544795
2026-01-04 0.072288 0.189878 0.431568 0.923480 1.841773 3.403977 6.149292
2026-01-11 0.064067 0.177632 0.420427 0.930375 1.907348 3.604965 6.642759
2026-01-18 0.056513 0.165454 0.407697 0.932538 1.963903 3.793326 7.124792
2026-01-25 0.049843 0.154069 0.395007 0.933137 2.016998 3.978085 7.609743
2026-02-01 0.043925 0.143356 0.382238 0.931941 2.066001 4.157694 8.094266
2026-02-08 0.038964 0.134131 0.371498 0.933644 2.120275 4.349200 8.608514
2026-02-15 0.033988 0.123736 0.356478 0.924238 2.151129 4.498735 9.054513
2026-02-22 0.031043 0.118645 0.353562 0.941288 2.236766 4.754536 9.704035
2026-03-01 0.027139 0.109679 0.339630 0.931558 2.265610 4.903736 10.164629
2026-03-08 0.024385 0.103742 0.332636 0.937194 2.327105 5.118524 10.756274